Will a Guardians pitcher throw a no-hitter at Progressive Field this season?

Is 2022 the year we finally see a Guardians pitcher throw a no-hitter at Progressive Field?

As Cleveland Guardians fans, an exciting element of going to the ballpark is the possibility of seeing a no-hitter or, if we’re really lucky, a perfect game.

For instance, as some games progress, anticipation often mounts as we realize midway through a particular contest that one of the pitchers has yet to give up a hit. Subsequently, after making a mental note, we may even begin to root for the pitcher to throw a no-hitter. Although we may cheer on the pitcher, it really is generally quite rare to attend a no-hitter.

Throughout the course of Cleveland Guardians franchise history, there have been 14 no-hitters. In fact, 45% occurred during an 11-year span between 1940 to 1951. Amazingly, Hall of Famer Bob Feller pitched three no-hitters during that time period.

More recently, Cleveland pitchers threw three no-hitters between 1974 and 1981, accomplished by Dick Bosman (1974), Dennis Eckersley (1977), and Len Barker (1981).

Since Barker’s perfect game 41 years ago, no Guardians franchise pitcher has thrown a no-hitter.
As you might imagine, it is highly unlikely that a no-hitter will be thrown while attending a baseball game in Cleveland.

Except last year when two no-hitters were thrown by opposing pitchers at Progressive Field. Early in the 2021 season, Cincinnati Reds pitcher Wade Miley threw a no-hitter. Additionally, in a late-season contest, Milwaukee Brewers pitchers Corbin Burnes and Josh Harder combined to throw a no-hitter of their own.

So what are the chances that you may see a Guardians pitcher or an opposing pitcher throw a no-hitter when you attend a game at Progressive Field this season?

This question was recently addressed by MLB.com’s Anthony Castrovince, and in analyzing the odds that fans may see a no-hitter at Progressive Field, he found that the probability of a no-hitter being thrown was .14%. Specifically, Castrovince noted there have been only three no-hitters out of 2,219 games played at Progressive Field.

So maybe this will be the year in which we finally see the first no-hitter thrown by a Guardians pitcher at Progressive Field.

But probably not.