The New York Mets are in clear freefall. While they entered the year with clear World Series aspirations, they’ve been anything but. Not only did they enter play yesterday with the second-worst record in the American League, but they’ve already fired manager Carlos Mendoza, which is the telltale sign that things have gone horribly wrong (unless you’re the Phillies).
Everything that could go wrong has gone wrong, which means the Mets are staring down the barrel of an inevitable fire sale.
One of the players who could be a key part of that fire sale is starting pitcher Freddy Peralta, who is in the midst of a rough season but is still a two-time All-Star who came in fifth in last season’s NL Cy Young voting.
While Peralta already stood out as an obvious trade target for the Guardians due to the team’s lack of pitching depth, he became even more of a trade target on Monday thanks to a new report from The Athletic’s Will Sammon that shined a light on Peralta’s trade market.
“Multiple scouts and executives who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they weren’t authorized to speak freely on the topic said the Mets should end up doing fine on a return for Peralta. It’s unlikely they’ll score the equivalent of what they shipped to the Milwaukee Brewers over the winter for Peralta: pitcher Brandon Sproat and infielder Jett Williams, two top-100 prospects. But they should do OK,” Sammon wrote.
There are multiple layers to that report, but perhaps the biggest one when it comes to the Guardians is that the Guardians wouldn’t need to worry about giving up a ton of prospect value should they choose to trade from Peralta.
The Guardians have the prospect capital needed to get Freddy Peralta
Now, just to be clear, the Guardians’ front office has proven they have no problem giving up a lot in a trade if they’re going after a player they’re interested in.
Their trade for Andrew Miller at the 2016 deadline stands out as the obvious option, but they also pulled the trigger on Lane Thomas in 2024 in exchange for three prospects.
The Nationals drove a hard bargain for Thomas, but the Guardians met their asking price because he filled an obvious need on a talented roster.
While the Guardians rotation isn’t an obvious need considering they’re the only team that’s used the same five starters all season, they could still benefit from adding Peralta given their stark lack of pitching depth.
They’re one pitching injury away from needing to rely on Logan Allen or Austin Peterson to eat innings while being in the middle of a division race, which is a scary place to be.
It also helps that the Guardians have an ace in the hole in the form of infield prospect Angel Genao (the No. 42 prospect in baseball, per MLB Pipeline).
Genao is the perfect trade chip given he’s a bit redundant in the Guardians' organization thanks to the team’s abundance of middle-infield prospects, but he has enough talent that he could serve as the headliner of any potential deal.
While giving up a prospect of Genao’s caliber for a pitcher with a 4.68 ERA may seem a bit confusing, Peralta’s better than he’s shown this season.
Plus he’s only making $8 million this season and is only under contract until the end of this season.
Cleveland’s rotation is already one of baseball’s best, but adding Peralta to the mix would turn the unit into one of baseball’s best while also giving the front office some peace of mind.
The Guardians have the prospect capital needed to make this deal happen. Whether they'll do so or not is a different story.
