Over/under: Will the Cleveland Guardians outfield hit more than 13 home runs in 2023?
Here's a grim update for you: The entire Cleveland Guardians outfield has yet to hit a home run in 2023.
Going into Tuesday's doubleheader with the Detroit Tigers, Steven Kwan, Myles Straw, Will Brennan, and Oscar Gonzalez are all sitting with goose eggs in the homer department. Of course, if we're being honest, it's doubtful anyone would have expected much more from the group; nobody is accusing these guys - except maybe Gonzalez, who is having his own offensive struggles - of being mashers.
Still, though, it's a bit jarring to see an entire outfield without a homer this far into the season, which begs the question: Just how many home runs will this outfield hit in 2023?
Setting the Over/Under at 13 Outfield Home Runs
I know, that's a pitifully low number. A whopping thirteen home runs or fewer for the entire season? But at the same time, we all know it could absolutely happen. After all, here are the current career home runs totals for the Guardians outfielders:
Steven Kwan: 6
Myles Straw: 5 (and none since 2021)
Will Brennan: 1
Oscar Gonzalez: 11
Gonzalez is the true wild card in all of this, because he showed real power potential last season, hitting those 11 homers in 362 at-bats. Clearly he's capable of more, but he'll first have to get his head on straight at the plate, as he's been mired in a deep funk this year and has essentially already lost his starting job to Brennan.
So as things currently stand, it suddenly seems like a pretty huge ask for this outfield to even hit double-digit home runs. Of course, that's not what this outfield is built to do, and it's not a terrible trade-off to get elite defense and a combined line between Kwan, Straw, and Brennan that looks like this:
.292/.382/.370 with no home runs (of course), nine doubles, one triple, 24 RBI, 13 stolen bases, 23 walks, 24 strikeouts and a 114 OPS+.
That's some very juicy stuff. But it wouldn't be the worst thing for them to toss in a home run every now and then while they're at it.
If you're looking for more over/under scenarios for the Guardians, be sure to check out our full episode of The California Penal League podcast, where we give our full over/under predictions for the season. We promise none are as depressing as this one, though.