The Cleveland Guardians may have a losing record, but they're still well in the hunt for the top spot in the AL Central.
They'll continue their interleague series against the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend, and on Saturday they plan to roll with Tanner Bibee (4.05 ERA) to face Freddy Peralta (4.60 ERA).
Let's dive into the odds for Saturday's showdown and then I'll break down my best bet.
Brewers vs. Guardians odds, run line, and total
Brewers vs. Guardians prediction and pick
We can go ahead and feel comfortable fading the Milwaukee Brewers. Believe it or not, their offense has been one of the worst in the Majors over the past month. In fact, they rank 29th in OPS over the last 30 days and dead last in batting average.
They're batting just .203 over that time frame.
Meanwhile, the Guardians offense has been red hot, ranking second in batting average over that span with a mark of .282. Cleveland has a massive advantage offensively in this matchup.
Let's also recognize how strong Tanner Bibee has been for the Guardians through his first 10 starts. He sports a 4.05 ERA backed by a 3.95 FIP. Freddy Peralta may be the bigger name in this matchup, but his 4.60 ERA and 4.75 FIP don't match the numbers that Bibee has posted so far in 2023.
The Guardians are a great bet as slight home favorites on Saturday afternoon.
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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