Cleveland Indians: 3 things that derailed the 2021 season
3 things that wrecked the Cleveland Indians 2021 season
With a little over a week since the curtain dropped on Cleveland’s 2021 season, there has been some time to process the events of a full 162-game campaign beyond surface-level, knee jerk reactions. Yes, it’s disappointing the Cleveland Indians couldn’t stay competitive beyond June when Cleveland was somehow 10 games over .500. Yes, there are plenty of things to be weary about as the playoffs march on without the Tribe for the second time since 2016.
However, with the time to look back at the season objectively, as well as see some actions already taken by the front office, it’s becoming easier to pinpoint some of the specific things that sent 2021 spiraling out of control for Cleveland. Some things are certainly obvious, and may draw an eye-roll at each mention going forward with the results of the campaign still fresh for so many fans, but others may have been less blatant, or even things that have plagued the Tribe for several seasons.
So let’s take a brief reprieve from worrying about what to do with a potential Jose Ramirez extension, or the plethora of 40-man roster decisions that need to be made to circumnavigate the Rule 5 Draft. Instead, let’s take a deep breath and look back at some of the specifics of 2021 that derailed the Tribe’s promising start, and decide with the benefit of hindsight if these issues can be addressed for 2022 and beyond.
Cleveland Indians derailment factor #1: Injuries
Cue the first eye roll from every fan of the team, but let’s address the obvious one first and foremost. Coming into 2021 Cleveland had questions in one area they haven’t had questions about for at least the past six seasons; the rotation. The Indians had three guaranteed spots in the rotation filled by Shane Bieber, Aaron Civale and Zach Plesac, but put the last two spots up for grabs in Spring Training with Logan Allen, Triston McKenzie and Cal Quantrill battling it out.
Ultimately, Allen and McKenzie won the rotation spots, forcing Quantrill into the bullpen, and after 162 games it seems as if Cleveland has their 2022 rotation figured out with McKenzie and Quantrill proving their mettle. However, it wasn’t figured out overnight. The team struggled terribly when all three of Bieber, Civale and Plesac wound up on the injured list. Bieber strained his shoulder, Civale had a somewhat freak finger fracture and Plesac lost a fight with a chair.
It isn’t difficult to understand why Cleveland went from 10 games over .500 in June to a sub-.500 pace the rest of the campaign, and the pitching was hard enough to overcome before we even get into the injuries that kept the likes of Franmil Reyes, Roberto Perez, Josh Naylor and Nick Sandlin off the field for significant chunks of/the rest of 2021.
The volume of injuries Cleveland faced wasn’t overwhelming, but the key contributors who were affected by them proved devastating for a young team learning a new identity and lacking depth. 2021 can be written off as somewhat of a fluke in this department, as it doesn’t warrant firing an entire strength and conditioning staff over, but the hope is to be a lot luckier in 2022.
Cleveland Indians derailment factor #2: Ty Van Burkleo
Cleveland already addressed this particular dumpster fire on October 6 when the team announced that hitting coach Ty Van Burkleo would not return as part of the coaching staff in 2022. Van Burkleo, 58, was somehow the longest tenured hitting coach in baseball with seven seasons in the Tribe dugout. It would appear from the outside looking in that Cleveland’s player development department has a hitting regiment in place that they really like, in which a significant amount of the team’s promising position players outperformed their offensive scouting grades and climbed to higher ranks of the farm system than some imagined possible in 2021.
It seemed consistently, and this year was no exception, that top offensive talent would perform extremely well in Triple-A, then die on the vine in the majors. Look no further than Owen Miller this season, who could not be stopped in Columbus, slashing .297/.374/.489 in 48 games in Triple-A, including hitting .408 in May, but managed just a .204/.342/.309 line in 60 games with Cleveland. It wasn’t just the youngsters either, as the offense has underperformed each season since 2017 under Van Burkleo’s tutelage. Here are Cleveland’s team batting average statistics and league rank under each of Van Burkleo’s seasons:
- 2013) .255 (13th)
- 2014) .253 (13th)
- 2015) .256 (11th)
- 2016) .262 (6th)
- 2017) .263 (5th)
- 2018) .259 (2nd)
- 2019) .250 (15th)
- 2020) .228 (23rd)
- 2021) .238 (21st)
There are outliers to every list, and this one isn’t special, but Van Burkleo was phenomenal at just how inept he could guide an offense to be, and there have been red flags for several seasons leading up to his termination. In 2021 the Cleveland Indians were no-hit a major league record three times in one season, four with the asterisk of a seven-inning doubleheader performance down in Tampa Bay.
Back in May of 2019, Lucas Giolito of the White Sox commented to the Chicago Sun Times after a dominant outing against the Indians that he and his catcher James McCann noticed Cleveland hitters could not, and would not, adjust to his changeup, which sparked a conversation between Van Burkleo and The Athletic’s Zack Meisel in which Van Burkleo stated “I haven’t changed anything in seven years.”
Van Burkelo will not be missed, especially by this writer who has been calling for his head for over three seasons, and it’s apparent the team wants to move in a new, likely younger, direction with the prospects on the verge of breaking into the majors. He has been one of the most consistent plagues of the Indians for several seasons, and I look forward to finding out who will guide the young bats moving forward.
Cleveland Indians derailment factor #3: Payroll
Yes, here we are once again to harp on the payroll decisions of a mid-market team, something that will always be a factor for Cleveland. And at the same time, spending money does not always equal winning in baseball, but in a sport with no cap rules or, to my dismay, even salary minimums, it can be a contributing factor in a team’s performance each season. To further my point about money not equating to wins, the New York Mets ($112.5M), the Philadelphia Phillies ($147.5M), and San Diego Padres ($162.5M) all missed the postseason despite having top-10 payrolls in baseball.
However, teams who spend with a purpose (Tampa Bay, Houston, San Francisco and Milwaukee to name a few) can invest intelligently to bolster their chances each season. This is something Cleveland did not do intentionally in 2021, with an incredibly young roster and plans to spend for 2022 to make the first season as the Cleveland Guardians competitive both for morale of the core and for new merchandise sales. Cleveland had the third lowest payroll on opening day, ahead of only Baltimore and Pittsburgh, but what it does line Cleveland up to do is exactly what Tampa Bay and other AL rivals excel at; find valuable depth to spend on.
The Indians took a long look at a lot of their young talent in 2021, and likely used that time and those evaluations to determine their plans for the Rule 5 Draft, their free agent targets and possible trades the team can and will explore during winter meetings (barring the new CBA deal, of course.) In a previous post about rebuilding the possible roster of the Indians for 2021, Cleveland’s average payroll since 2016 was found to be roughly $86.5M, something Cleveland undershot this year by nearly $40M.
Cleveland will have the payroll this offseason to bolster the roster, both with possible extensions for Shane Bieber and Jose Ramirez, and to take their shots at potentially high value free agents, especially in the outfield and bullpen. Short term, it was a rough season to watch, but the payroll should be a much less sore subject entering 2022 as Cleveland looks to re-open their championship window.