Cleveland Indians: Position Preview for 2021, Starting Pitching

Cleveland Indians Position Preview for 2021, Starting Pitchers

The turnover that has happened this offseason with the roster of the Cleveland Indians has changed the outlook of nearly every position and the starting pitchers unit was no exception. While the group was expected to be among the top in the league, the trade of Carlos Carrasco was a big knock to the group.

Now, the Cleveland Indians will enter the 2021 season with four of the five starters locked in, one less than we would like to say. However, those four will all be younger than 26-years old. Age doesn’t exactly translate to a lack of experience, but there’s no question where the organization is trending. To save money and get younger during the upcoming season.

While the starting pitchers were effected by the trade, they will still be the life blood of this Indians club during the next season at least. Multiple offensive weapons were lost and no guarantees were added, just possibilities for potential. With the uncertainties of the offense and lack of run production, the Tribe will need to rely on the pitching staff to stay competitive.

Luckily, the starting pitchers of the Cleveland Indians have been the life blood before and recently. An organization known for producing pitching talent, the hope is that the Indians will be able to fill the fifth and final spot in the rotation to keep the unit at the top of Major League Baseball.

The question will be who? We’ve asked that question before and each time we’ve been answered by an incredible prospect that makes the leap to the majors, in fact that’s how we came to know our current rotation. Now, it’s just time for the next man up to get the call up. There might be multiple players that are given an opportunity this season to showcase their stuff, but one of them is sure to emerge as the fifth starter in the Indians’ rotation.

Shane Bieber

Coming off winning the American League Cy Young Award following the 2020 season, Shane Bieber will be the anchor to the Indians’ best position group. Bieber has played just three seasons, but he’s made each one better than the last, which means we’re in for an incredibly historic performance in 2021 if the trend continues.

In his second season Bieber was selected to be an All-Star, taking home the MVP of the game at Progressive Field. From there, Bieber transitioned to the 2020 season where he made history in more ways than one.

For starters, the season culminated in Bieber becoming the first pitcher in major league history to average more than 14 strikeouts per nine inning, ending the year with a mark of 14.2. But that’s not where the stats end. He led the American League in eight statistics and all of baseball in six.

If Bieber can even get close to returning to his 2020 form in the upcoming season, the Cleveland Indians will be in good shape and have a strong shot to win every time he takes the mound. The key will be seeing how often he’s at the top of his game and if the offense will be able to supply run support. If not, he could fall into the realm of Jacob deGrom by being dominant, but lacking wins.

Aaron Civale

While the 2021 season will be the third in the career of Aaron Civale, it in many ways will be his first true major league season. Civale debuted during the 2019 season and appeared in 10 games before pitching in 12 during the 2020 season. He hasn’t had to endure the length of a full season yet and that will be the biggest test for him in the upcoming year.

While Civale hasn’t gone a full MLB season yet, he does have enough to be a bright light in what could be a dismal season in Cleveland. The question will be figuring out where he lands among his past seasons. His 2019 outing saw an ERA of 2.34 whereas his 2020 season saw that number jump to 4.74. He also allowed the most hits in the American League last season, giving up 82 over 74 innings pitched.

The potential for Civale is definitely there and having pitched just 22 games at the major league level, we can assume there’s plenty of room for growth for him. Turning 26-years old in June, Civale has a long career ahead of him, so if it takes a bit for him to settle in, that isn’t abnormal. If there’s anytime for these pitchers to experiment and find themselves on the mound, this year might be it while the Tribe prepare to reload with youth over the next couple seasons.

Triston McKenzie

A first round pick in the 2015 MLB Draft, Triston McKenzie has actually been a member of the Cleveland Indians organization the longest among the rotation, despite being the youngest at 23-years old. Still the No. 3 prospect in the organization, we were able to get a taste of McKenzie last season and he lived up to expectations.

His career began with an incredible outing where he struck out 10 batters against the Detroit Tigers and picked up the win. That sample continued through the remainder of the season as McKenzie tallied 42 strikeouts in just over 33 innings pitched, appearing in eight games and starting six. For comparison, if you translate those numbers to a full season, McKenzie would have tallied 204 strikeouts, finished 10-5 and managed a 3.24 ERA and 0.90 WHIP.

Now, in a full season those numbers might be hard to replicate for a pitcher in their first season, but regardless the future is bright with McKenzie, along with the other three mentioned before him. Each of them have strengths and fixable weaknesses that make for a positive outlook for the position unit. The only catch will be figuring out who will be the fifth starter in the rotation.

Who’s the fifth starter for the Cleveland Indians?

The fifth spot of the rotation will be the biggest question for the Cleveland Indians starting pitchers entering the 2021 season. Luckily, they have a strong track record of finding and producing starting pitchers, so hopefully they have someone in mind.

From looking at the 40-man roster there’s already a few names that stick out from the rest as potential candidates to claim the fifth spot. Logan Allen, Sam Hentges and Trevor Stephan might be the front runners entering Spring Training.

Beginning with Allen, he’s just 23-years old and was part of the Trevor Bauer deal. Allen started four games for the Padres in 2019, but most of his appearances have been in relief. A left-handed pitcher, he would be the only southpaw in the rotation for the Indians, and the first in quite some time as well. The downside is that his hits per nine are rather high, making him seem like a better fit in the bullpen.

Like Allen, Hentges would also be a lefty addition to the rotation. At 24-years old, Hentges has yet to make his MLB debut, or even pitch beyond Double-A for that matter. He has the potential to maybe take over the spot after knocking the rust off in Triple-A, but it’s hard to imagine giving this spot to someone who hasn’t pitched in over a year or beyond Double-A, at least from the get-go.

The third option is the one that makes the most sense to me, being Stephan. A Rule 5 Draft selection, Stephan will be in the majors anyway and has a history of starting. When the Indians took him it didn’t quite make sense, but now it seems like it was a move knowing that Carrasco wouldn’t start the season in Cleveland. Having started 69 of his 71 games in the minors, this seems like the best bet. However, he’s in the same boat as Hentges, last pitching in 2019 at Double-A.

There’s also the possibility that the Cleveland Indians could sign someone or even wait for a mid-to-late season call up. Really the possibilities are nearly endless for this fifth spot.